More Than Just Mining: De-Risking the Critical Mineral Supply Chain

Rare earths and critical minerals continue to dominate geopolitical headlines, but the market conversation is rapidly shifting from where these minerals are in the ground to how they actually reach commercial viability. Moving a project from an exploration-stage discovery to a producing asset requires clearing metallurgical, capital, and geopolitical hurdles.

During B. Riley Securities' 26th Annual Institutional Investor Conference, industry leaders gathered for our Rare Earths & Critical Minerals: State of the Union. Moderated by Nick Giles (Senior Equity Research Analyst at B. Riley Securities), the discussion featured Mark A. Smith (Executive Chairman, President & CEO at NioCorp) and Trevor Anderson (Head of Business Development at Brazilian Rare Earths). The panel outlined what it truly takes to build a viable alternative to the dominant Chinese supply chain.


Key Takeaways:

The supply chain imperative
Building a meaningful alternative to Chinese supply requires a complete domestic supply chain from extraction all the way through to magnet production. The panel was clear: without that full infrastructure in place, reducing dependence on China in any tangible way remains out of reach.

What separates viable projects from the rest
The panel emphasized that rigorous asset evaluation is critical. NioCorp's Elk Creek Critical Minerals Project in Nebraska is the only development-stage U.S. project containing niobium, scandium, titanium, and rare earth elements. Brazilian Rare Earths' Monte Alto project is advancing toward a scoping study release, with a French engineering consultancy engaged to assist in designing and developing its separation facility in Brazil.

The role of government
Government support is playing a significant role in improving project viability and attracting institutional capital. The panel highlighted the Department of Defense's $110/kg floor price for neodymium-praseodymium oxide, established through the MP Materials agreement, as a meaningful signal of government commitment to domestic supply chain development. Additionally, loan authorizations and USDFC project finance involvement are helping development-stage projects advance.

Looking ahead
The panel's near-term outlook was constructive. U.S. rare earth magnet production is steadily advancing, with domestic facilities now coming online in 2026. Key financing authorizations and scoping study milestones are expected across several development-stage projects.

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